Hey!
Most people don’t realize this but you can actually bet on the NFL Draft.
It sounds crazy, but these are usually the easiest bets to exploit each year.
Here are 7 bets you need to know for tonight’s NFL Draft:
#7 Carnell Tate: First WR Selected
Tate has been the consensus #1 receiver in this class most of the offseason.
At Ohio State he posted 51 catches, 875 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 17.2 yards per catch. Nearly every mock has him going to the Giants at 5 or Browns at 6, both top-10 picks with massive receiver needs.
Jordan Tyson is the only real threat to go before Tate, but if the Giants don’t take him at Pick #5, there’s a good chance he slides past Tate.
Tate's health is clean, his tape is elite, and his draft slot is locked in the top 10…
#6 KC Concepcion: Second WR Selected
Multiple draft analysts have Concepcion ranked as the #2 WR in the class.
There’s a strong chance the Rams want a WR at pick 13, they need a long-term answer with Davante Adams entering his final year.
Concepcion fits the Rams scheme as a slot, deep threat and return specialist.
If Jordyn Tyson doesn't go to New Orleans at 8, he could slide to the Jets at Pick 16.
Concepcion's path to WR2 would then be wide wide, especially with teams like the Rams, Chiefs and Dolphins all sitting in the 9-13 range with WR needs…
#5 Titans to Draft Jeremiyah Love
NFL Network's Cameron Wolfe reported the Titans "like him a lot." The buzz around the league keeps pointing to Tennessee at pick 4.
Their roster tells the whole story. Tony Pollard turns 29 this month. Tyjae Spears has missed 9 games the past 2 seasons. Both are on expiring deals.
And despite spending $300 million in free agency, the Titans didn't sign a single notable running back.
Love is the perfect weapon for 2nd-year QB Cam Ward…
#4 Jadarian Price: To Be Selected In Round 1
This one is spicier but here’s what you need to know:
ESPN's Peter Schrager, who bases his mocks entirely on what he's hearing from GMs, has Price going to the Seahawks at 32. Daniel Jeremiah independently agrees and said 1100-1200 yard rookie season "wouldn't shock him."
Seattle lost Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III in free agency and Charbonnet is rehabbing a torn ACL. They need a lead back badly.
When two of the most connected insiders in the business both send Price to Seattle in Round 1, that's worth betting on…
#3 Denzel Boston: To Be Selected In Round 1
Boston is the big-bodied contested-catch guy that a bunch of late first round teams are hunting for.
He’s 6-foot-3, 212 pounds with back-to-back seasons at Washington with 60+ catches and 830+ yards.
Schrager noted that some NFL sources have Boston graded as the 2nd or 3rd best WR in this class. If teams actually see him that way, he's not falling to Day 2…
#2 Arvell Reese: #2 Overall Pick
The Jets pick 2nd overall and need a defensive centerpiece.
It's down to 2 players, Reese and David Bailey. Most national analysts have Bailey here. But the team insiders say it’s Reese.
The Jets hosted Reese for an official Top 30 visit. After that visit, they cancelled their scheduled meeting with Bailey.
You don't cancel a visit with a potential 2nd overall pick unless you've already made your decision. Reese is also a better fit for this defense.
Coach Aaron Glenn said he wants to be "more physical" on defense this year. Reese is the ideal 3-4 linebacker who can rotate as an edge rusher in dime packages…
#1 Giants First Position Drafted: Linebacker
The Giants pick 5th overall and their biggest need is obvious.
They allowed the worst rushing EPA in the entire NFL last season.Their linebacker room was bad but Sonny Styles is the perfect addition to fit their needs.
One of the most connected Giants reporters publicly put his money on Styles over Caleb Downs at this spot.
And new coach John Harbaugh built championship defenses in Baltimore around elite linebacker-safety pairings. Styles fits that exact mold.
Plus, the Giants division rival Commanders pick at 7 and also need linebacker help. Taking Styles fills their need and prevents their rival from getting him…
— Sal
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