The Super Bowl is set, but the betting market hasn’t fully adjusted yet.
Here are 7 early key edges worth knowing before kickoff:
1. Drake Maye has 1 cheat code
Maye has struggled overall this postseason as a passer, but he ranks 2nd in rushing efficiency among playoff players. If New England pulls the upset, it likely comes from his mobility…
2. Sam Darnold is facing a pressure test
Darnold just threw for a season-high 346 yards, even against a top-5 pass rush. The problem is New England blitzes at the 2nd-highest rate this postseason, this could cause problems for Darnold…
3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba draws the perfect coverage
JSN’s yardage prop opened at 93.5 yards, a mark he’s cleared in 63% of games. New England plays man coverage at a Top-10 rate which matters because JSN finished 2nd vs. man this season.
4. Stefon Diggs benefits from zone coverage
Seattle plays zone at one of the highest rates in the league. Diggs ranked 11th among WRs vs. zone this season earning 2.55 yards per route run, outperforming several elite names like CeeDee Lamb and Nico Collins.
5. Kenneth Walker’s receiving role is expanding
With Zach Charbonnet out, Walker handled 79% of backfield opportunities in the NFC Championship. He also ran a season-high 16 routes, his 2nd most on the year, leading to a season-high 4 catches.
This sets up nicely as he now faces the Patriots who allow the 5th most catches to RBs…
6. Rhamondre Stevenson is dominating the workload
Stevenson just earned 25 touches to just 3 for Treveyon Henderson in the AFC Championship. He’s now seen 70% of New England’s backfield usage this postseason.
His pass-catching role will matter against a Seahawks unit that allows the most RB receptions.
7. Rashid Shaheed’s role is growing
Shaheed quietly ran 28 routes in the NFC Championship, his best usage in months. With defenses focused on JSN, Shaheed should see more one-on-one chances downfield against man coverage.
The market hasn’t fully caught up yet and that’s where the opportunity is for you.
Sal
P.S. I took 4 early picks for the Super Bowl using this information above.
You get a free $50 to take these picks with when you join Prize Picks today with code SAL5 by clicking here now.
