Hey!
Every year I lock in a handful of guys I'm not just drafting, I'm betting everything on.
We've got a former offensive player of the year sliding out of the 1st round, a WR1 who was dominating before an injury and a TE coming off a career year with a new coach.
Here are the players I'm betting everything on this year:
#5 Saquon Barkley
Saquon just had a "down" year and still finished as a Top-15 back. But 12 months ago he was the RB1 in football with over 2,000 rushing yards.
The downfall was mostly scheme related. His true yards per carry dropped from 5 (4th) to 3.8 (51st) under coach Kevin Patullo. Patullo is now gone.
Sean Mannion's zone-heavy scheme fits everything Saquon does best, and the workhorse volume remains there. Saquon is set for a bounce back…
#4 Garrett Wilson
Through 5 weeks of 2025 before injury, Wilson averaged 15.7 PPG on an elite 34% target share. He's cleared 1000 yards every healthy season despite having some of the worst QBs in football (Zach Wilson, Fields, Tyrod, Brady Cook).
Now he gets Geno Smith, a real upgrade even coming off a down year. This is the latest Wilson has ever come off the board in fantasy. He’s a value…
#3 Christian Watson
In just 10 games last year Watson was the WR17 at 11.5 PPG, and from Week 11 on he hit 13.2 points per game on a 24% target share.
Doubs and Wicks are both gone (131 targets vacated) and the Packers just gave Watson a massive extension. The injury history is the only reason he's this cheap…
#2 Kyle Pitts
Pitts just had the best season of his career with 118 targets (2nd at the position). Down the stretch he finished Top 10 at TE in 5 of his final 6 games averaging 15.1 points.
Now Kevin Stefanski takes over. He helped make David Njoku the TE5 in 2024 and Harold Fannin the TE8 in 2025 as a rookie.
Pitts also just got a fresh extension. This might finally be the year…
#1 Kyler Murray
Kyler has finished as a Top-12 QB every full season of his career.
And now he lands in the best situation of his life: Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings, strong O-Line and coach Kevin O'Connell…
— Sal
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