Hey!

There are 5 players I probably won’t be drafting in a single league this year.

And #1 is probably someone you are targeting:

#5 Bucky Irving

He's going in the 4th round despite his backfield getting more crowded.

Kenneth Gainwell is in and he's a real pass-catching threat: 85 targets (5th at RB), 73 catches (4th), and 8 total TDs last year.

Sean Tucker also earned the goal-line role in 2025 (7 GL touches, 8 TDs). Bucky is stuck in a committee and goes in a range where I prefer the WRs instead…

#4 Panthers RBs

This is the backfield everybody is racing to be early on but I want no part of it.

Jonathon Brooks has 12 career NFL touches and is coming off 2 ACL tears. Chuba Hubbard has been fine but lacks explosiveness and a true pass-catching role.

Not to mention, Trevor Etienne is also getting first-team snaps in camp and this is still an offense led by Bryce Young that should be among the worst in the NFL.

One note: Hubbard is dealing with a hamstring injury but should be ready for Week 1…

#3 Quinshon Judkins

He's going in the 4th round and I think he's one of the biggest traps on the board.

Judkins flashed early in 2025 (14.6 PPG from Weeks 2-7), but from Weeks 8-16 he dropped to 8.7 PPG with just 2 TDs.

And nothing about this QB situation got better either. Expect more stacked boxes for Judkins to run into this year with not many redzone trips.

Plus, Dylan Sampson is also the passing-down back and he was the #1 RB in yards per route run last year. It’s tough too see the upside for Judkins in Round 4…

#2 Harold Fannin

His ADP has jumped 10 spots in the last 2 weeks and I think it's moving the wrong way.

Fannin's rookie target share was great (5th in the NFL at TE), but the Browns added 2 rookie WRs in KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston who are dominating camp.

The QB room is still a disaster (Gabriel, Sanders, or Watson). Meanwhile Tucker Kraft (TE6) and Kyle Pitts (TE7) go within a few picks, take one of them instead there…

#1 Josh Allen

The QB1 in fantasy last season is a guy I won't have much of this year.

Allen was still a Top 5 QB in 2025, but from Week 9 on he averaged 21.4 PPG, behind Stafford and Trevor Lawrence and right there with Purdy, Burrow, Maye, and Caleb Williams.

He's going in Round 2 when similar production is available at QB in Rounds 5-8 with Maye, Daniels, Hurts, Dart, Mahomes, and Kyler…

— Sal

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