Most Super Bowl bettors are chasing the wrong plays and missing the easy edges.
These 5 picks are built on player usage, defensive tendencies and game script. The stuff that actually matters.
Here’s what I’m playing for the Super Bowl (and you can too):
5. Cooper Kupp - More Than 19.5 Receiving Yards
This is an alternative line that’s been free money all season.
Kupp has cleared 19.5 yards in 16 of 18 games and is now running over 80% of routes in the postseason while averaging 25% more targets than the regular season.
One catch can cash this…
4. Stefon Diggs - More Than 29.5 Receiving Yards
He’s topped this number in 80% of his games this year.
But more importantly, Diggs is an underdog in the Super Bowl. In 6 games as an underdog this season, he averages 69 yards per game.
Now he draws a Seahawks defense that plays zone at one of the highest rates, a coverage Diggs has thrived against all year…
3. George Holani - More Than 0.5 Catches
With Zach Charbonnet out, Holani quietly stepped into a real passing-down role in the NFC Championship.
He ran 17 routes, more than Kenneth Waker, and caught 3 passes for 27 yards. Now he faces a Patriots defense that allows the 5th most RB receptions.
2. TreVeyon Henderson - More Than 9.5 Rushing Yards
The snap count last game was ugly, just 4 total snaps.
But don’t expect this to continue in the Super Bowl. New England needs explosive plays if they want to score against this elite Seattle defense.
Henderson is New England’s most explosive player and he’s rushed for 10+ yards in 17 of 20 games this season. This can hit on just 2 carries…
1. Rhamondre Stevenson - More Than 0.5 Touchdowns
He played 94% of snaps in the AFC Championship and has handled every single carry inside the 5-yard line this postseason.
Stevenson has now earned 62% of backfield carries this postseason and the 230-pound back profiles as the clear goal-line RB in the biggest game of the year…
— Sal
P.S. I took these 5 picks on Prize Picks and you can too.
You’ll get a free $50 to take these picks with when you join Prize Picks today with code SAL5 by clicking here now.
